Web of Science: 121 cites, Scopus: 134 cites, Google Scholar: cites,
Are forest disturbances amplifying or canceling out climate change-induced productivity changes in European forests?
Reyer, Christopher P. O. (Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung)
Bathgate, Stephen (Northern Research Station. Forest Research)
Blennow, Kristina (Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet)
Borges, Jose G. (Universidade de Lisboa. Centro de Estudos Florestais)
Bugmann, Harald (Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich)
Delzon, Sylvain (Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (França))
Faias, Sonia P. (Universidade de Lisboa. Centro de Estudos Florestais)
Garcia-Gonzalo, Jordi (Centre de Ciència i Tecnologia Forestal de Catalunya)
Gardiner, Barry (Northern Research Station. Forest Research)
Gonzalez-Olabarria, Jose Ramon (Centre de Ciència i Tecnologia Forestal de Catalunya)
Gracia, Carles (Centre de Recerca Ecològica i d'Aplicacions Forestals)
Hernández, Juan Guerra (Universidade de Lisboa. Centro de Estudos Florestais)
Kellomäki, Seppo (University of Eastern Finland. School of Forest Sciences)
Kramer, Koen (Wageningen University and Research Centre)
Lexer, Manfred J. (Universität für Bodenkultur Wien)
Lindner, Marcus (Yliopistokatu. European Forest Institute)
van der Maaten, Ernst (Universität Greifswald)
Maroschek, Michael (Universität für Bodenkultur Wien)
Muys, Bart (European Forest Institute)
Nicoll, Bruce (Northern Research Station. Forest Research)
Palahi, Marc (Yliopistokatu. European Forest Institute)
Palma, João H. N. (Universidade de Lisboa. Centro de Estudos Florestais)
Paulo, Joana A. (Universidade de Lisboa. Centro de Estudos Florestais)
Peltola, Heli (University of Eastern Finland. School of Forest Sciences)
Pukkala, Timo (University of Eastern Finland. School of Forest Sciences)
Rammer, Werner (Universität für Bodenkultur Wien)
Ray, Duncan (Northern Research Station. Forest Research)
Sabaté i Jorba, Santi (Centre de Recerca Ecològica i d'Aplicacions Forestals)
Schelhaas, Mart-Jan (Wageningen University and Research Centre)
Seidl, Rupert (Universität für Bodenkultur Wien)
Temperli, Christian (Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich)
Tomé, Margarida (Universidade de Lisboa. Centro de Estudos Florestais)
Yousefpour, Rasoul (Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg)
Zimmermann, Niklaus E. (Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich)
Hanewinkel, Marc (Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg)

Data: 2017
Resum: Recent studies projecting future climate change impacts on forests mainly consider either the effects of climate change on productivity or on disturbances. However, productivity and disturbances are intrinsically linked because 1) disturbances directly affect forest productivity (e. g. via a reduction in leaf area, growing stock or resource-use efficiency), and 2) disturbance susceptibility is often coupled to a certain development phase of the forest with productivity determining the time a forest is in this specific phase of susceptibility. The objective of this paper is to provide an overview of forest productivity changes in different forest regions in Europe under climate change, and partition these changes into effects induced by climate change alone and by climate change and disturbances. We present projections of climate change impacts on forest productivity from state-of-the-art forest models that dynamically simulate forest productivity and the effects of the main European disturbance agents (fire, storm, insects), driven by the same climate scenario in seven forest case studies along a large climatic gradient throughout Europe. Our study shows that, in most cases, including disturbances in the simulations exaggerate ongoing productivity declines or cancel out productivity gains in response to climate change. In fewer cases, disturbances also increase productivity or buffer climate-change induced productivity losses, e. g. because low severity fires can alleviate resource competition and increase fertilization. Even though our results cannot simply be extrapolated to other types of forests and disturbances, we argue that it is necessary to interpret climate change-induced productivity and disturbance changes jointly to capture the full range of climate change impacts on forests and to plan adaptation measures.
Ajuts: European Commission 226544
Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad AGL2015-67293-R
Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad RYC-2013-14262
Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad RYC-2011-08983
Nota: Altres ajuts: COST Action FP1304 PROFOUND as well as the Module E.8 of the IUFRO Task Force on 'Climate Change and Forest Health'. CPOR acknowledges funding from the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF, grant no. 01LS1201A1). MJS and KK acknowledge funding from the strategic research programme KBIV 'Sustainable spatial development of ecosystems, landscapes, seas and regions', funded by the Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs. KK was additionally funded by the Knowledge Base project Resilient Forests (KB-29-009-003). RS acknowledges further support from the Austrian Science Fund FWF through START grant Y895-B25. HP acknowledges funding from the strategic research council of Academy of Finland for FORBIO project (no. 14970). The ISA-authors acknowledge funding from the CEF research Centre by project UID/AGR/00239/2013. NEZ acknowledges further support from Rafael O Wüest and from the Swiss Science Foundation SNF (grant #40FA40_158395). And from CERCA Programme / Generalitat de Catalunya.
Drets: Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, fins i tot amb finalitats comercials, sempre i quan es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original. Creative Commons
Llengua: Anglès
Document: Article ; recerca ; Versió publicada
Matèria: Fire ; Forest models ; Forest productivity-disturbances-climate change interactions ; Insects ; Storms ; Trade-offs
Publicat a: Environmental research letters, Vol. 12 (March 2017) , art. 034027, ISSN 1748-9326

DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa5ef1
PMID: 28855959


22 p, 593.4 KB

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