Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient
Radchuk, V. (Leibniz Institute for Zoo and Wildlife Research)
Reed, T. (University College Cork. School of Biological. Earth and Environmental Sciences)
Teplitsky, C. (Université de Montpellier)
van de Pol, M. (Netherlands Institute of Ecology. Department of Animal Ecology)
Charmantier, A. (Université de Montpellier)
Hassall, C. (University of Leeds. School of Biology. Faculty of Biological Sciences)
Adamík, P. (Palacký University. Department of Zoology)
Adriaensen, F. (University of Antwerp. Evolutionary Ecology Group)
Ahola, M. P. (Swedish Museum of Natural History)
Arcese, P. (Department of Forest and Conservation Sciences)
Miguel Avilés, J. (Experimental Station of Arid Zones (EEZA-CSIC). Department of Functional and Evolutionary Ecology.)
Balbontin, J. (Universidad de Sevilla)
Berg, K. S. (University of Texas Rio Grande Valley. Department of Biological Sciences.)
Borras, Antoni (Museu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona)
Burthe, S. (Centre for Ecology and Hydrology. Bush Estate)
Clobert, J. (University Paul Sabatier)
Dehnhard, N. (University of Antwerp. Behavioural Ecology and Ecophysiology Group)
de Lope, F. (Universidad de Extremadura)
Dhondt, A. A. (Cornell University)
Dingemanse, N. J. (Ludwig-Maximilians University of Munich. Department of Biology)
Doi, H. (University of Hyogo. Graduate School of Simulation Studies)
Eeva, T. (University of Turku. Department of Biology)
Fickel, J. (Potsdam University. Institute for Biochemistry and Biology)
Filella, Iolanda (Centre de Recerca Ecològica i d'Aplicacions Forestals)
Fossøy, F. (Norwegian University of Science and Technology)
Goodenough, A. E. (University of Gloucestershire. School of Natural and Social Sciences)
Hall, Stephen (Estonian University of Life Sciences)
Hansson, B. (Lund University. Department of Biology)
Harris, M. (Centre for Ecology and Hydrology. Bush Estate)
Hasselquist, D. (Lund University. Department of Biology)
Hickler, Thomas (Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Center (BiK-F))
Joshi, J. (Institute for Landscape and Open Space.)
Kharouba, H. (University of Ottawa. Department of Biology)
Martínez, J. G. (Universidad de Granada. Departamento de Zoología)
Mihoub, J. B. (Sorbonne Université. Muséum National d'Histoire Naturelle)
Mills, J. A. (3 Miromiro Drive)
Molina-Morales, M. (Universidad de Extremadura)
Moksnes, A. (Centre de Recerca Ecològica i d'Aplicacions Forestals)
Ozgul, A. (University of Zurich. Department of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies)
Parejo, D. (Universidad of Extremadura)
Pilard, P. (LPO Mission Rapaces)
Poisbleau, M. (University of Antwerp. Behavioural Ecology and Ecophysiology Group)
Rousset, F. (Université de Montpellier)
Rödel, M. O. (Leibniz Institute for Evolution and Biodiversity Science)
Scott, D. (University of Georgia. Savannah River Ecology Laboratory)
Senar, Joan Carles (Museu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona)
Stefanescu, C. (Natural History Museum of Granollers)
Stokke, B. G. (Norwegian Institute for Nature Research)
Kusano, T. (Tokyo Metropolitan University. Department of Biological Sciences.)
Tarka, M. (Lund University. Department of Biology)
Tarwater, C. E. (University of Wyoming. Department of Zoology and Physiology)
Thonicke, Kirsten (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK))
Thorley, J. (University of Cambridge. Department of Zoology)
Wilting, Andreas (Leibniz Institute for Zoo and Wildlife Research (IZW))
Tryjanowski, P. (Poznan University of Life Sciences. Institute of Zoology)
Merilä, J. (University of Helsinki. Ecological Genetics Research Unit)
Sheldon, B. C. (University of Oxford. Edward Grey Institute)
Pape Møller, A. (Université Paris-Sud. Ecologie Systématique Evolution)
Matthysen, Erik (University of Antwerp. Evolutionary Ecology Group)
Janzen, F. (Iowa State University)
Dobson, F. S. (Auburn University. Department of Biological Sciences)
Visser, M. E. (Netherlands Institute of Ecology. Department of Animal Ecology)
Beissinger, S. R. (University of California. Department of Environmental Science. Policy and Management and Museum of Vertebrate Zoology)
Courtiol, A. (Leibniz Institute for Zoo and Wildlife Research)
Kramer-Schadt, S. (Technische Universität Berlin. Department of Ecology)

Data:	2019
Resum:	Biological responses to climate change have been widely documented across taxa and regions, but it remains unclear whether species are maintaining a good match between phenotype and environment, i. e. whether observed trait changes are adaptive. Here we reviewed 10,090 abstracts and extracted data from 71 studies reported in 58 relevant publications, to assess quantitatively whether phenotypic trait changes associated with climate change are adaptive in animals. A meta-analysis focussing on birds, the taxon best represented in our dataset, suggests that global warming has not systematically affected morphological traits, but has advanced phenological traits. We demonstrate that these advances are adaptive for some species, but imperfect as evidenced by the observed consistent selection for earlier timing. Application of a theoretical model indicates that the evolutionary load imposed by incomplete adaptive responses to ongoing climate change may already be threatening the persistence of species.
Ajuts:	European Commission 337365 European Commission 639192
Nota:	This work was supported by funds from: European Research Council (ERC-2013-StG-337365-SHE to A.Ch., ERC-2013 -AdG-339092-E-Response to M.E.V., ERC-2014-StG-639192-ALH to T.R.), Ministry of Economy and Competitivity, Swedish Research Council (621-2014-5222 to B.H.), Spanish Research Council (CGL-2016-79568-C3-3-P to J.C.S.), US National Science Foundation (DEB-1242510 to F.J., DEB-0089473 to F.S.D.), the Academy of Finland (project 265859 to T.E.) and the US Department of Energy (Award Number DE-FC09-07SR22506 to the University of Georgia Research Foundation to D.S.).
Drets:	Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, fins i tot amb finalitats comercials, sempre i quan es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original.
Llengua:	Anglès
Document:	Article ; recerca ; Versió publicada
Matèria:	Acclimatization ; Animals ; Birds ; Climate Change ; Phenotype ; Selection, Genetic ; Time Factors
Publicat a:	Nature communications, Vol. 10 Núm. 1 (january 2019) , p. 3109, ISSN 2041-1723

DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-10924-4
PMID: 31337752

14 p, 2.2 MB

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