On Track or Not? Projecting the Global Multidimensional Poverty Index
Alkire, Sabina (University of Oxford)
Nogales, Ricardo (University of Oxford)
Quinn, Natalie Naïri (University of Oxford)
Suppa, Nicolai (Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics)

Data:	Oxford 2020
Descripció:	54 pag.
Resum:	In this paper we compute projections of global multidimensional poverty. We use recently published estimates of changes over time in multidimensional poverty for 75 countries, which are based on time-consistent indicators. We consider and evaluate different approaches to model the trajectories of countries' achieved and future poverty reduction. Our preferred model respects theoretical bounds, is supported by empirical evidence, and ensures consistency of our main measure with its sub-indices. We apply this approach to examine whether countries will halve their poverty between 2015 and 2030 if observed trends continue. Our results suggest that if observed trends continue, 47 countries will have halved their poverty by 2030-irrespective of the underlying model. As the current COVID-19 pandemic may severely disrupt progress in poverty reduction, we also assess its potential impact using simulation techniques and evaluate the resulting setback. Our analyses suggest a setback to multidimensional poverty reduction of about 3-10 years.
Ajuts:	European Commission 637768 Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación IJCI-2017-33950
Nota:	This publication arises from research partially funded by the John Fell Oxford University Press (OUP) Research Fund, as well as ESRC-DFID ES/N01457X/1, DfID project 300706 and Sida Project 11141. The authors are grateful to all funders for their support. Suppa gratefully acknowledges funding of the European Research Council (ERC-2014-StG-637768, EQUALIZE project), the CERCA Programme (Generalitat de Catalunya), and of the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities Juan de la Cierva Research Grant Programs (IJCI-2017-33950).
Nota:	Altres ajuts: ESRC-DFID ES/N01457X/1
Drets:	Tots els drets reservats.
Llengua:	Anglès
Col·lecció:	OPHI Research in Progress Series 58a
Document:	Working paper
Matèria:	Multidimensional poverty ; Projection ; COVID-19 ; Poverty dynamics ; SDG

Adreça alternativa: https://ophi.org.uk/rp-58a/

54 p, 1.2 MB

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Documents de recerca > Documents dels grups de recerca de la UAB > Centres i grups de recerca (producció científica) > Ciències socials i jurídiques > Centre d’Estudis Demogràfics (CED-CERCA)
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