Human fertility after a disaster : a systematic literature review
Lee, D. Susie (Max-Planck-Institute for Demographic Research)
Batyra, Ewa (Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics)
Castro-Torres, Andrés F. (Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics)
Wilde, Joshua (Max-Planck-Institute for Demographic Research)
Data: |
2023 |
Resum: |
Fertility is a key demographic parameter influenced by disaster. With the growing risk of disasters, interest in the fertility response to a disaster is increasing among the public, policy makers and researchers alike. As yet, a synthesis of the current evidence on how fertility changes after disaster does not exist. We reviewed 50 studies retrieved from a systematic search based on a pre-registered protocol. We found an overall negative impact of disasters on fertility. If any, increases in fertility were mostly linked with weather-related physical disasters. We also identified 13 distinct mechanisms which researchers have considered as underlying the fertility effects of disaster. By contrast to the common belief that disasters are more likely to increase fertility in contexts with already high fertility, we found little evidence to suggest that the total fertility rate of the studied populations was an important predictor of the direction, timing or size of fertility impacts. While this may be because no relationship exists, it may also be due to biases we observed in the literature towards studying high-income countries or high-cost disasters. We summarize the methodological limitations identified from the reviewed studies into six practical recommendations for future research. Our findings inform both the theories behind the fertility effects of disasters and the methods for studying them. |
Ajuts: |
European Commission 101060237-DISPARFAM
|
Drets: |
Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús Creative Commons. Es permet la reproducció total o parcial, la distribució, la comunicació pública de l'obra i la creació d'obres derivades, fins i tot amb finalitats comercials, sempre i quan es reconegui l'autoria de l'obra original. |
Llengua: |
Anglès |
Document: |
Article ; recerca ; Versió publicada |
Matèria: |
Fertility ;
Disaster ;
Humans ;
Systematic literature review ;
Birth counts |
Publicat a: |
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Vol. 290 Núm. 1998 (2023) , ISSN 1471-2954 |
DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2023.0211
PMID: 37161332
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